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Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting: An Overview
 
     Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting: An Overview
     
     


Autor(es):
Ramos, Célia M.Q.
Rodrigues, Paulo M.M.


Periódico: Revista de Turismo Contemporâneo

Fonte: Revista de Turismo Contemporâneo; v. 2 n. 2 (2014)

Palavras-chave:
Econometrics Models; Forecasting Accuracy; Temporal Series; Tourism Demand Determinants; Tourism Demand Modelling


Resumo: The research of tourism demand of a country or region is indispensable since the tourist demand and economic growth are positively related. In the analysis of tourism demand, which should be initiated by the identification of factors and determinants which explain the preference for a particular destination, it is necessary to identify the most appropriate functional relationship between the independent variables in order to define the model, more representative, for the purpose of the study, which investigates about what influences or motivates the search for a specific tourist destination while allows the forecasting of their development. Thus, this article aims to contribute to a better understanding of the problems associated with the process of tourism demand modelling and forecasting for a given destination.